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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Apr 29, 2026 02:00PM ET
1
Weeks
6
Days
20
Hours
43
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 29, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.360
3.50 - 3.75
100.0%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | — | 1.1% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 100.0% | 98.9% | 97.9% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | — | — | 2.1% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 17, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.355
3.50 - 3.75
99.4%
3.75 - 4.00
0.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | — | 2.4% | 3.9% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 99.4% | 97.6% | 94.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.6% | — | 2.1% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 29, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.360
3.25 - 3.50
6.6%
3.50 - 3.75
92.8%
3.75 - 4.00
0.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | — | 0.2% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 6.6% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 92.8% | 91.1% | 94.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.6% | — | 2.1% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 16, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.390
3.00 - 3.25
0.5%
3.25 - 3.50
12.7%
3.50 - 3.75
86.2%
3.75 - 4.00
0.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | — | — | — |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 12.7% | 16.2% | 7.0% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 86.2% | 82.8% | 90.9% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.6% | — | 2.0% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 28, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.395
3.00 - 3.25
1.3%
3.25 - 3.50
17.8%
3.50 - 3.75
80.3%
3.75 - 4.00
0.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | — | — | — |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 17.8% | 20.8% | 10.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 80.3% | 77.1% | 86.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.5% | — | 1.9% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 09, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.440
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
3.8%
3.25 - 3.50
27.1%
3.50 - 3.75
68.5%
3.75 - 4.00
0.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | — | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 27.1% | 29.2% | 22.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 68.5% | 65.7% | 74.2% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.4% | — | 1.6% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 27, 2027 01:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.450
2.75 - 3.00
0.5%
3.00 - 3.25
5.4%
3.25 - 3.50
30.0%
3.50 - 3.75
63.6%
3.75 - 4.00
0.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | — | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 30.0% | 31.8% | 25.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 63.6% | 61.0% | 69.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.4% | — | 1.5% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 17, 2027 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.470
2.75 - 3.00
0.8%
3.00 - 3.25
6.9%
3.25 - 3.50
32.0%
3.50 - 3.75
60.0%
3.75 - 4.00
0.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | — | — |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 6.9% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 32.0% | 34.6% | 28.2% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 60.0% | 55.0% | 65.3% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.4% | — | 1.4% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 28, 2027 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.480
2.75 - 3.00
0.9%
3.00 - 3.25
7.4%
3.25 - 3.50
32.6%
3.50 - 3.75
58.6%
3.75 - 4.00
0.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | — | — |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 7.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 32.6% | 35.1% | 29.9% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 58.6% | 53.8% | 62.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.4% | — | 1.4% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 09, 2027 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.510
2.50 - 2.75
0.2%
2.75 - 3.00
1.7%
3.00 - 3.25
10.6%
3.25 - 3.50
35.9%
3.50 - 3.75
51.2%
3.75 - 4.00
0.3%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | — | — |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 10.6% | 12.5% | 8.7% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 35.9% | 37.3% | 33.9% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 51.2% | 47.5% | 54.9% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.3% | — | 1.2% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 28, 2027 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.525
2.50 - 2.75
0.6%
2.75 - 3.00
4.0%
3.00 - 3.25
17.0%
3.25 - 3.50
39.8%
3.50 - 3.75
38.4%
3.75 - 4.00
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 17.0% | 17.1% | 19.7% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 39.8% | 39.1% | 43.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 38.4% | 38.8% | 31.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.2% | — | 0.7% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 15, 2027 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.580
2.25 - 2.50
0.1%
2.50 - 2.75
1.0%
2.75 - 3.00
5.6%
3.00 - 3.25
19.8%
3.25 - 3.50
39.6%
3.50 - 3.75
33.6%
3.75 - 4.00
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
| 1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 19.8% | 21.2% | 18.9% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 39.6% | 39.1% | 41.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 33.6% | 31.6% | 32.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.2% | — | 2.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | — | — | 0.0% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 27, 2027 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.615
2.25 - 2.50
0.2%
2.50 - 2.75
1.4%
2.75 - 3.00
7.0%
3.00 - 3.25
21.7%
3.25 - 3.50
39.0%
3.50 - 3.75
30.4%
3.75 - 4.00
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
| 1.50 - 1.75 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 21.7% | 22.9% | 21.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 39.0% | 38.4% | 40.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 30.4% | 28.6% | 29.3% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.2% | — | 2.2% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | — | — | 0.0% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 08, 2027 01:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.800
2.00 - 2.25
0.6%
2.25 - 2.50
3.2%
2.50 - 2.75
11.7%
2.75 - 3.00
27.3%
3.00 - 3.25
36.3%
3.25 - 3.50
20.8%
3.50 - 3.75
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 - 1.00 | — | — | — |
| 1.00 - 1.25 | — | — | — |
| 1.25 - 1.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.6% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 27.3% | 27.8% | 27.4% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 36.3% | 35.2% | 37.1% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 20.8% | 19.5% | 20.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 0.1% | — | 1.5% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | — | — | 0.0% |
Updated: Apr 15, 2026 04:55PM EDT
Fed Fund Rates
News
Former Fed Chair Yellen sees one rate cut possible this year
By Investing.com - Apr 14, 2026
Investing.com-- Former Federal Reserve Chair and U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen sees one interest rate cut by the central bank as possible this year, despite potential inflationary shocks from...
Dollar posts weekly decline amid central bank caution around Iran war
By Investing.com - Mar 20, 2026
Investing.com -- The U.S. dollar steadied on Friday, but was below multi-month highs and on pace for a weekly decline, with investors attempting to suss out the path ahead for U.S. interest rates in...
U.S. dollar slips as traders assess Iran war, host of central bank commentary
By Investing.com - Mar 19, 2026
Investing.com -- The U.S. dollar slipped on Thursday, taking a breather after the previous session’s gains as investors assessed further developments in the Middle East conflict and a host of...
Analysis
Silver Remains Below Peak Despite CPI Confirming Stagflation Setup
By Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA - Apr 15, 2026
March CPI printed 3.3% — the highest reading since May 2024 — while Q4 GDP came in at 0.5%. Inflation above target. The thesis we have tracked since Issue #1 just arrived in official...
Inflation, Deflation, and Energy Prices Take Toll on Markets
By Louis Navellier - Apr 10, 2026
1
President Trump does not want Iran to charge tolls for passage through the Strait of Hormuz, and this is expected to be a contentious subject at the negotiations scheduled in Islamabad,...
Real Personal Income Declines in February - You Lost Money to Inflation
By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - Apr 09, 2026
Economists missed this result by miles.The BEA’s Personal Income and Outlays report for February 2026 shows an unexpected decline in personal income and a big decline in real (inflation...